真係聽抖音同胞老點，開始互炸海水化淡廠

[mtr]

https://x.com/tparsi/status/2030300418132029571

The US has struck Iranian desalination plants. If Iran responds in kind by striking desalination plants in GCC, the situation for Iran's Arab neighbours will be devastating. It appears the Iranian FM is hinting at that in his last sentence here.

[joe]

[mtr]

美国轰炸伊朗的海水淡化工厂，但伊朗对海水淡化的依赖程度其实很低，约为3%左右，而以色列对于海水淡化的依赖程度则高达70%-80%。

一个危险的先例被美国亲手打开……

https://x.com/QiaoJiaXY/status/2030449449449947232

[mtr]

炸中東國家的海水化淡廠，其破壞與影響力，只差放核彈一步而已

[joe]

[mtr]

https://x.com/mtrainier2020/status/2030579819910484344

从终局思维看， 事情的发展越来越向坏的方向发展。
昨天美国炸了伊朗的净水厂了，伊朗开始报复了。
一旦海水淡化厂被炸了，大家都没有退路的。大规模人道主义灾难啊。

还有霍尔木兹海峡被封住了，石油出不去，那么食品也进不来。
时间一长，GCC国家就会面对食品短缺问题。

所以，这一个月内霍尔木兹海峡必须要重新通航。

[mtr]

Iran has apparently hit a desalination plant in Bahrain, saying that an American base in Bahrain was used to attack a similar plant in Iran.

If both sides are going to target desalination plants, you can expect a humanitarian crisis. Millions of people rely on those plants for drinking water across the Middle East.

https://x.com/vikramchandra/status/2030562317180776901

[mtr]

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2030618358152942022

The water desalination strikes:

Yesterday, Iran said the US struck Iranian water desalination sites, leaving ~30 villages without water.

Iran called this a "dangerous move with grave consequences."

Then, minutes ago, Bahrain announced that Iran struck their water desalination facilities.

This is being described as the "worst-case scenario." Why?

Because most Gulf countries cannot survive without desalinated water.

It accounts for 90% of Kuwait's drinking water, 86% in Oman, 70% in Saudi Arabia, and 42% in the UAE.

Drinking water for millions of people is at risk.

[mtr]

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2030563924614037553

... More than 400 desalination plants operate across the region, quietly supplying the water that keeps cities running. In Kuwait, about 90% of drinking water comes from desalination. In Oman, it’s 86%.

Even the United Arab Emirates, with one of the most advanced infrastructure systems on the planet, gets about 42% of its drinking water from the sea.

That’s what makes attacks on these facilities so alarming. Unlike oil infrastructure, which affects markets and government revenue, desalination plants affect people immediately.

Take out a refinery and the economy suffers. Take out a desalination plant and millions could lose access to drinking water.

Energy infrastructure has always been part of regional conflict, but targeting water infrastructure raises the stakes dramatically.

[mtr]

https://x.com/Lostlanding/status/2030611272186884586



伊朗IRGC说得很清楚：这是对美国朱法尔基地的直接报复——因为美国从这个基地发射导弹打击了伊朗格什姆岛的淡水厂。巴林的储水只有24到48小时，国土面积小到无处疏散，王室政权已经在摇晃。而美国目前没有任何救助中东王爷的方案。

美国从巴林朱法尔基地打伊朗→伊朗打巴林淡化厂报复朱法尔基地→这开创了打击淡化设施的先例→沙特的朱拜勒才是真正让所有人不寒而栗的目标，因为它一旦被打，利雅得会在一周内陷入人道主义危机。
伊朗现在手里还握着这张牌没有打出去。​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

2008年一份美国外交密电显示，沙特的朱拜勒淡化厂供应了利雅得超过90%的饮用水，密电警告：如果该厂遭到严重破坏，首都将不得不在一周内撤离，并补充说：没有朱拜勒淡化厂，沙特政府的现有结构就无法存在。

【为何朱拜勒淡化厂被攻击才是更恐怖的？】
规模——利雅得超过700万，巴林全国人口只有150万。绝对的人道主义灾难规模完全不同。

政治后果——沙特首都瘫痪意味着沙特王国本身的运作停摆，这是地区秩序崩溃的核心节点。巴林的崩溃是悲剧，沙特的崩溃是整个中东秩序的终结。

象征意义——麦加麦地那在沙特境内，伊斯兰世界最神圣的两座城市的供水依赖朱拜勒。这不只是人道主义问题，这是文明级别的冲击。

[mtr]

Just IN:- Iran may bomb the Jebel Ali desalination plant in Dubai after U.S. bombed water plant in Qeshm Island.

— Nearly 90% of Dubai’s drinking water comes from the Jebel Ali plant, and any strike could trigger a major water crisis in Dubai.

https://x.com/SouthAsiaIndex/status/2030325322055606762

[mtr]

https://x.com/MichaelAArouet/status/2030632268205633637

Exposure to freshwater desalination plants attacks is extremely asymmetrical.

Unfortunately the US allies have much more to lose in this regard.

[mtr]

https://x.com/Lostlanding/status/2030613212182503607

2026-3-8

【朱拜勒淡水厂如果被打意味着什么——不只是断水】

麦加麦地那的供水依赖朱拜勒。伊朗打朱拜勒，在什叶派和逊尼派的历史叙事里，等于：

波斯人切断了伊斯兰圣城的水源。

这不是地缘政治，这是文明记忆层面的终极冒犯。1400年前卡尔巴拉之战，侯赛因在被切断水源的情况下殉道，这是什叶派最神圣的历史创伤。伊朗切断麦加的水，在逊尼派眼里，是同等级别的文明罪行。

这道裂缝一旦打开，没有任何外交能在一代人的时间里修复它。

关于明天的金融市场

霍尔木兹实际上已经关闭，LNG停产，油价在极度不稳定区间。巴林淡水厂被打开创了先例，市场会开始定价”朱拜勒被打”的概率。拦截弹库存枯竭的消息正在扩散，防御体系的可靠性被市场质疑。

[mtr]

BREAKING: It has now been determined that the water desalination plant on Qeshm Island, southern Iran, was targeted by the U.S. Army using a PrSM tactical short-range ballistic missile launched by means of ATACMS from Bahrain. In response, the Iranian Army Ground Forces targeted the water desalination plant in Bahrain, and as a result, people in Bahrain are now suffering from a lack of water, same thing that people in south of Iran have been suffering from yesterday.

https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/2030532150001332446

[joe]