以色列会不会动用核武？

[mtr]

https://x.com/Lostlanding/status/2028968345358524520

以色列的核门槛极高，通常只有在以下三种极端情况重合，并被美国彻底抛弃时才可能被触发：

1. 生存受到威胁： 敌军大规模地面部队即将攻入特拉维夫或耶路撒冷。
2. 大规模杀伤性武器袭击： 遭受了对方大规模的核、生化武器攻击。
3. 国家防御体系彻底崩溃： 防空系统（箭式、萨德、铁穹）完全耗尽，主要城市面临持续性的毁灭性轰炸，且没有盟友能够救援。

2. 下不来台可能还不足以触发核武。

虽然现在的对轰看起来很惨烈，但动用核武器对以色列来说是一把毁灭性的双刃剑，一旦动用，以色列将瞬间变成全球公敌，美国可能被迫与其切割。

以色列国土狭小，如果在中东邻国投下核弹，核尘埃极有可能随着气流飘回国内，造成自我毁灭。而且2026 年的伊朗已经处于核门槛边缘。一旦以色列打破禁忌，伊朗（或其盟友）极可能发起毁灭性的非对称报复，甚至引发全球核战争。

[joe]

[mtr]

据说国内有华人军友建议伊朗国防部，摧毁以色列的海水淡化工厂。。。内塌你丫胡一伙闻讯惊恐抓狂，摩萨德已对这名华人发出了死亡威胁。。。

最绝望的是伊朗的导弹已经击中了索雷克海水淡化工厂。。。以色列80%的淡水依赖海水淡化。打击海水淡化工厂等于打击疣太国的命根子

抓狂之下，以色列很快就会动用核武器。

https://x.com/RenXiu83090/status/2029758368689037818

[joe]

[mtr]

而家以伊開始互相炸對家的海水化淡廠，煉油廠，下一步以色列的亞胡再被伊朗的導彈和無人機炸彈不停炸其民生設施，會唔會用到核武，完成下文的陷球鏟人類命運攬炒共同體？

https://x.com/Kai866/status/2030509024840454583

// ... 江学勤教授谈以色列对这场战争的预期结果：

“结果是尽可能多地杀害人，摧毁整个全球经济，摧毁伊朗，迫使美国退出中东，摧毁海湾国家，将土耳其卷入战争，导致大以色列计划的建立，最终实现犹太和平。”

“然后，最终，为另一场被称为歌革和玛各战争的世界大战创造条件，美国被迫退出中东，俄罗斯和伊朗联手攻击以色列，这将带来世界末日。”

“而世界末日将带来弥赛亚降临，借助神力，神圣以色列将独自反抗，赢得末日战争，最终统治地球，奴役世人。”

“这将是一场灾难。” //

[joe]

[mtr]

仆街，亞胡真係想用核彈

https://x.com/ShadowofEzra/status/2030459786135765427

Benjamin Netanyahu announces he has a major surprise for Iran that will completely destabilize the country.

Netanyahu is asking Iranians to lay down their weapons and surrender or face death.

[mtr]

https://x.com/RealScottRitter/status/20 ... 2537424261

If Israel uses nuclear weapons against Iran, it self-identifies as the most evil nation in the world today and should be targeted by all nations of the world for immediate eradication.

We know Israel is a genocidal entity based upon its actions in Gaza and the Palestinian people over time.

But the evil nature of this despicable nation is on full display as they manufacture a case for war on a well-known lie (Iranian nuclear weapons), carry out a surprise attack that puts them in the same category as Imperial Japan when it comes to perfidy, and now uses the war it started as justification for the employment of its own arsenal of illegally acquired nuclear weapons.

A nuclear-armed Israel is the greatest threat to peace and security in the world today.

There can be no peace as long as this cancerous parasite continues to manifest itself as a nuclear-capable nation state.

The choice is simple: verifiably disarm Israel of its illegal nuclear arsenal, or remove Israel from the map of history.